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Red124
36541.6
7537.9
164715.6
Blue108
48434.7
201618.4
20320.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067120406080120140160180124108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+2Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
79Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
124Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
41.61.7
39.641.3
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 6.9
484
#12
34.72.1
32.434.6
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
Second
75
#2
37.91.7
36.638.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 16.9
203
#19
20.92.1
18.720.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
15.61.7
13.815.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
blue by 2.8
2016
#28
18.42.1
16.919.0
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed