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Red131
164032.1
741426.6
872118.6
Blue41
180745.9
711019.2
181114.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810320406012014013141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+62Teleop
+70Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
15Coral scored#5
53Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
77Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
20Foul points0
131Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.13.1
29.332.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
blue by 13.8
45.93.5
47.644.1
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
26.63.1
24.127.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
red by 7.4
7110
#17
19.23.5
22.419.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Third
8721
#25
18.63.1
15.418.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 3.8
1811
#15
14.83.5
17.714.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed