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Red52
1015715.8
692125.8
758716.3
Blue43
20320.9
741426.6
877117.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64710501001505243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
+1Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
37Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
8Foul points0
52Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#18
25.81.5
23.922.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
blue by 0.8
26.62.2
23.120.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
7587
#31
16.31.5
14.713.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 4.7
203
#19
20.92.2
22.019.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
15.81.5
19.217.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 1.1
8771
#16
17.02.2
17.615.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed