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Red99
272028.9
181114.8
7537.9
Blue48
164715.6
8704-0.5
71417.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885302040801001201401609948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave0
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
61Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
8Foul points0
99Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
37.90.0
27.127.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 20.2
714
#14
17.72.1
20.618.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Second
2720
#13
28.90.0
26.326.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 13.3
15.62.1
16.514.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Third
1811
#15
14.80.0
22.722.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 15.3
8704
#33
-0.52.1
14.812.7
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed