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Red73
255431.1
871412.2
48434.7
Blue33
20420.6
813015.0
36541.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68802040601001207333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
62Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
73Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#12
34.70.9
30.631.4
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
blue by 6.9
365
#4
41.64.2
30.426.2
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
31.10.9
15.316.2
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
red by 10.5
204
#27
20.64.2
19.115.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Third
8714
#32
12.20.9
13.314.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 2.7
8130
#22
15.04.2
15.611.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed