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Red82
36541.6
1015715.8
255431.1
Blue81
201618.4
692125.8
741426.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94742040601201401608281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points8
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
52Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
82Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
41.60.3
41.341.0
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 15.0
26.60.1
27.227.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
31.10.3
30.830.5
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
red by 5.3
6921
#18
25.80.1
26.426.5
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
Third
15.80.3
15.515.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 2.6
2016
#28
18.40.1
19.019.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5