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Red81
42819.4
71417.7
181114.8
Blue88
20320.9
48434.7
164715.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518202040601001201408188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points36
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
62Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points0
81Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
428
#23
19.40.6
18.819.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 15.3
484
#12
34.70.3
34.134.5
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
Second
714
#14
17.70.6
17.117.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 3.3
203
#19
20.90.3
20.420.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
1811
#15
14.80.6
14.214.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 0.8
15.60.3
15.015.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4