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Red72
7537.9
20420.6
164032.1
Blue55
201618.4
692125.8
741426.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106772040601201401601807255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
43Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points12
72Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
37.90.5
38.638.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 11.3
26.60.7
27.326.6
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
32.10.5
32.832.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
red by 6.3
6921
#18
25.80.7
26.525.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
Third
204
#27
20.60.5
21.420.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
red by 2.2
2016
#28
18.40.7
19.118.4
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5