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Red136
589559.5
941615.1
180745.9
Blue88
434237.2
125727.5
711019.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1379140608010012016018020013688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave9
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points10
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
75Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
136Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.4
58.058.5
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
red by 22.3
4342
#11
37.20.1
37.137.2
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
Second
45.90.4
44.344.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 18.3
27.50.1
27.427.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Third
9416
#24
15.10.4
13.614.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 4.1
7110
#17
19.20.1
19.119.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8