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Red95
314254.6
21919.7
167228.1
Blue144
71424.4
83455.8
870623.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098705015020095144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
57Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#10
2L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
8Foul points8
95Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.60.8
47.646.8
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
blue by 1.2
834
#4
55.83.4
44.547.8
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
1672
#28
28.10.8
27.126.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
red by 3.7
714
#21
24.43.4
18.421.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
Third
219
#24
19.70.8
24.823.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
blue by 3.4
23.15.6
22.628.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned