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Red20
807515.6
870713.1
94394.6
Blue76
55539.1
87717.2
428522.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297802040601001201402076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +46
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
8Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#6
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points14
20Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8075
#20
15.61.1
11.110.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
blue by 23.4
555
#6
39.10.4
32.532.1
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Second
8707
#25
13.11.1
11.910.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 9.7
4285
#16
22.80.4
19.118.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
9439
#30
4.61.8
11.09.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 2.6
8771
#29
7.20.4
16.215.9
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed