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Qual 112025 FMA District Warren Hills Event
Red115
704516.0
181142.2
22247.7
Blue60
167651.3
164041.8
1060015.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929460708010011011560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +43
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
73Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
115Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
47.71.5
36.1→37.6
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
blue by 3.5
1676
#11
51.31.9
46.2→44.3
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
Second
1811
#10
42.21.5
23.6→25.1
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
red by 0.4
1640
#5
41.81.9
31.7→29.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Third
7045
#14
16.02.5
24.0→26.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 0.7
10600
#23
15.31.9
7.4→5.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed