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Red85
862814.7
314254.6
Blue81
127933.6
5634.8
863028.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86762040601001201408581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+8Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
4Foul points8
85Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.60.1
47.647.6
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 19.9
56
#12
34.80.2
32.132.2
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
Second
8628
#17
14.70.1
13.213.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 18.9
33.60.2
21.121.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
Third
9.00.1
19.419.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 19.3
8630
#18
28.40.3
17.317.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed