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Red96
851356.9
55539.1
942421.5
Blue99
75225.9
83455.8
870713.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10076501502009699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points26
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
96Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.3
45.445.7
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 1.0
834
#4
55.81.6
42.844.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
555
#6
39.10.3
32.232.5
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 13.1
752
#9
25.91.6
21.723.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Third
9424
#19
21.50.5
13.614.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 8.4
8707
#25
13.11.6
10.311.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned