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Red24
94394.6
531011.4
68605.5
Blue65
30327.0
870623.1
807515.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853204060802465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
8Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points12
24Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5310
#27
11.42.2
17.215.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 15.5
303
#26
27.00.6
15.215.8
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Second
6860
#32
5.51.3
13.512.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
blue by 17.6
23.10.6
22.022.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
Third
9439
#30
4.62.2
13.211.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 11.0
8075
#20
15.60.3
10.711.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned