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Red80
218010.4
428522.8
22247.7
Blue28
1006913.1
87717.2
71424.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7443020601001201401608028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+16Teleop
+22Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
35Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
30Foul points0
80Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
47.71.1
37.236.1
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
red by 23.3
714
#21
24.41.2
19.618.4
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
Second
4285
#16
22.81.1
20.219.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 9.8
13.11.2
9.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
Third
2180
#22
10.41.1
9.07.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
red by 3.2
8771
#29
7.21.2
17.516.2
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed