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Red68
75225.9
68605.5
164041.8
Blue32
30327.0
862814.7
704516.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685702040801001201406832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
49Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points0
68Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.2
29.829.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
red by 14.9
303
#26
27.02.6
15.813.2
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Second
752
#9
25.90.2
23.323.1
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
red by 9.9
7045
#14
16.02.6
26.523.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
6860
#32
5.50.2
12.111.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
blue by 9.2
8628
#17
14.71.6
13.211.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed