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Red72
167651.3
531011.4
218010.4
Blue102
127933.6
851356.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68962040608012014072102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
55Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
72Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#11
51.30.3
44.344.6
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
blue by 5.6
56.91.0
45.746.8
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
5310
#27
11.40.5
15.015.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 22.1
33.61.0
21.322.3
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
Third
2180
#22
10.40.3
7.98.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
red by 1.4
9.01.7
19.521.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned