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Red81
5634.8
1060015.3
870623.1
Blue131
22247.7
863028.4
55539.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910002040608012014016081131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
58Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
81Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#12
34.80.9
34.335.1
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
blue by 13.0
222
#2
47.72.7
37.640.3
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
Second
23.11.4
28.229.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
blue by 16.0
555
#6
39.12.7
32.134.9
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Third
15.30.9
5.56.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 13.1
8630
#18
28.44.6
20.224.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned