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Red86
870713.1
314254.6
30327.0
Blue9
704516.0
68605.5
87717.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79520204060100120140160869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+61Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +55
12Coral scored#2
43Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
61Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#2
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
86Total score9

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.61.0
46.847.8
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 38.6
7045
#14
16.04.7
23.919.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Second
303
#26
27.01.7
13.214.9
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
red by 19.7
8771
#29
7.22.8
15.913.0
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Third
8707
#25
13.11.0
10.811.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 7.7
6860
#32
5.52.8
11.99.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed