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Red97
75225.9
167228.1
851356.9
Blue128
181142.2
164041.8
127933.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068005015020097128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +39
8Coral scored#17
29Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
53Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
97Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
46.846.6
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 14.6
1811
#10
42.23.1
27.130.2
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
Second
1672
#28
28.10.1
26.326.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
blue by 13.7
41.83.1
29.632.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Third
752
#9
25.90.1
23.122.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
blue by 7.6
33.63.1
22.325.4
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned