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Red77
83455.8
1006913.1
Blue118
21919.7
167651.3
807515.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868450607010011012013077118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
42Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points18
77Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.80.2
47.847.7
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 4.5
1676
#11
51.31.4
44.646.1
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
Second
13.10.2
10.210.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
blue by 6.6
219
#24
19.71.4
23.925.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
Third
9.00.3
21.220.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 6.6
8075
#20
15.61.4
10.011.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned