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Red39
942421.5
704516.0
870713.1
Blue84
870623.1
22247.7
531011.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459901503984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +35
5Coral scored#13
17Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
23Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
39Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9424
#19
21.51.0
16.815.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
blue by 26.2
222
#2
47.70.1
40.340.2
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
Second
7045
#14
16.01.0
19.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 7.1
23.10.2
29.729.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
Third
8707
#25
13.10.6
11.811.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 1.7
5310
#27
11.40.2
15.615.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned