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Red93
94394.6
164041.8
5634.8
Blue53
181142.2
218010.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885401001509353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
57Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
4Foul points4
93Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.7
33.634.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
blue by 0.4
1811
#10
42.20.5
30.830.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
Second
56
#12
34.80.7
36.337.0
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
red by 24.3
2180
#22
10.40.5
10.49.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Third
9439
#30
4.61.2
8.39.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 4.4
9.00.9
15.514.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed