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Red125
851356.9
862814.7
1060015.3
Blue58
167228.1
942421.5
531011.4
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7359020408010012012558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
67Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
12Foul points6
125Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.93.1
48.151.2
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 28.7
1672
#28
28.10.2
22.922.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Second
15.33.1
7.110.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 6.3
9424
#19
21.50.4
17.817.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
8628
#17
14.73.1
11.514.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 3.3
5310
#27
11.40.4
14.614.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed