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Red110
68605.5
55539.1
167651.3
Blue117
1006913.1
314254.6
704516.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10382204060120140160180110117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points23
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
71Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points6
110Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#11
51.30.3
47.146.8
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
blue by 3.4
54.61.3
49.250.6
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Second
555
#6
39.10.3
37.737.3
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 23.1
7045
#14
16.02.2
18.220.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
6860
#32
5.50.3
9.28.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
blue by 7.6
13.11.3
10.812.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned