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Red54
428522.8
21919.7
870713.1
Blue127
22247.7
75225.9
127933.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529915054127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+71
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +65
6Coral scored#17
21Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
31Total teleop96
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
54Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#16
22.80.1
18.818.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 24.9
222
#2
47.72.5
40.242.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
Second
219
#24
19.70.1
25.525.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
blue by 13.9
33.62.5
26.529.0
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
Third
8707
#25
13.10.1
11.211.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 12.8
752
#9
25.92.5
22.525.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned