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Red111
807515.6
863028.4
83455.8
Blue32
30327.0
87717.2
858823.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9847020608012014016011132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+65Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +41
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
65Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
111Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.81.7
47.849.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 28.9
303
#26
27.02.1
19.517.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Second
8630
#18
28.42.8
25.828.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
red by 4.5
8588
#15
23.81.2
21.420.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Third
8075
#20
15.61.7
12.113.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
red by 8.4
8771
#29
7.21.2
9.78.5
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed