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Red37
862814.7
531011.4
71424.4
Blue57
704516.0
55539.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538302040601001201403757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
37Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
#21
24.41.6
26.324.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
blue by 14.7
555
#6
39.11.0
37.336.3
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Second
8628
#17
14.71.6
14.613.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 1.3
7045
#14
16.01.7
20.418.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
5310
#27
11.42.7
14.211.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
red by 2.4
10480
#31DQ
9.01.7
14.612.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned