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Red162
22247.7
851356.9
870713.1
Blue51
21919.7
942421.5
218010.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12044010015020016251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+57Teleop
+49Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +46
11Coral scored#3
40Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
62Total teleop16
Reef
8L4#3
2L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +111
64Foul points2
162Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.5
51.250.7
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 35.3
9424
#19
21.50.4
17.417.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
222
#2
47.70.5
42.742.3
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
red by 28.0
219
#24
19.70.2
25.425.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
Third
8707
#25
13.10.5
11.110.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 2.7
2180
#22
10.40.2
9.99.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned