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Red99
863028.4
851356.9
71424.4
Blue42
1060015.3
704516.0
21919.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1164901001502009942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+59Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave0
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points16
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
46Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
99Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.3
50.750.4
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 37.2
219
#24
19.70.8
25.124.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
Second
8630
#18
28.40.5
28.628.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
red by 12.4
7045
#14
16.01.2
18.717.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
714
#21
24.40.3
24.724.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
red by 9.2
15.30.8
10.19.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed