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Qual 392025 FMA District Warren Hills Event
Red109
5634.8
22247.7
30327.0
Blue128
83455.8
181142.2
862814.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103104708090110120130140109128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+27
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points24
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points55
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
76Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
109Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
47.70.7
42.3→42.9
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
blue by 8.1
834
#4
55.82.1
50.6→52.8
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
56
#12
34.80.7
36.1→36.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
blue by 7.5
1811
#10
42.22.1
32.2→34.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
Third
303
#26
27.01.0
20.6→21.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
red by 12.2
8628
#17
14.72.1
13.0→15.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed