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Red110
167228.1
127933.6
55539.1
Blue39
858823.8
428522.8
68605.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10749015020011039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
18Coral scored#5
64Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
78Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#1
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
110Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#6
39.11.5
36.337.8
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 15.3
8588
#15
23.80.6
20.519.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Second
33.61.5
29.430.9
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
red by 10.8
4285
#16
22.80.6
19.819.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
1672
#28
28.11.5
21.823.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
red by 22.6
6860
#32
5.50.6
7.97.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed