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Red41
87717.2
870623.1
942421.5
Blue97
531011.4
314254.6
164041.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4911001001504197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+54
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
18Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
41Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.4
29.828.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
blue by 31.6
54.60.0
51.751.7
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Second
9424
#19
21.51.4
17.015.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
blue by 20.3
41.80.0
33.433.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Third
8771
#29
7.20.9
8.17.2
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 4.2
5310
#27
11.40.0
11.511.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned