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Red30
68605.5
218010.4
863028.4
Blue102
55539.1
83455.8
164041.8
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112505010015020030102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+60
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +64
3Coral scored#16
11Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
15Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
30Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8630
#18
28.41.4
18.717.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
blue by 27.4
834
#4
55.80.4
43.242.8
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
2180
#22
10.40.9
9.89.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 31.4
41.80.4
32.131.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Third
6860
#32
5.50.9
14.313.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
blue by 33.6
555
#6
39.10.4
32.632.2
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned