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Red40
704516.0
94394.6
127933.6
Blue42
942421.5
807515.6
862814.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78370501001502004042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
24Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
40Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.7
22.821.1
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
red by 12.0
9424
#19
21.50.2
13.913.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
7045
#14
16.02.9
26.924.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 0.4
8075
#20
15.60.1
10.910.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Third
9439
#30
4.62.9
16.113.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 10.1
8628
#17
14.70.1
13.313.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed