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Red65
55539.1
1006913.1
218010.4
Blue56
75225.9
807515.6
704516.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62633040507080901006556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+17Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
47Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points8
65Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#6
39.10.0
37.837.8
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 13.1
752
#9
25.90.9
24.623.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Second
13.10.0
11.211.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
blue by 2.9
7045
#14
16.01.3
17.416.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
2180
#22
10.40.0
9.79.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 5.2
8075
#20
15.60.9
14.213.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed