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Qual 442025 FMA District Warren Hills Event
Red123
83455.8
942421.5
30327.0
Blue148
167228.1
164041.8
22247.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93110406080100120140160123148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+17
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
4Coral scored#6
19Coral points31
19Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +2
19Coral scored#18
68Coral points66
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
98Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#11
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
123Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.82.2
52.8→55.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 8.1
222
#2
47.73.2
42.9→46.2
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
Second
303
#26
27.03.2
21.6→24.8
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
blue by 14.9
1640
#5
41.83.2
33.4→36.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Third
9424
#19
21.53.2
15.6→18.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
blue by 6.6
1672
#28
28.13.2
23.3→26.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned