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Red96
858823.8
1060015.3
181142.2
Blue22
870623.1
68605.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72520204060801001201409622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+72Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +65
15Coral scored#1
54Coral points5
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
74Total teleop9
Reef
5L4#0
7L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
96Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#10
42.22.2
34.336.6
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
red by 19.1
23.12.4
28.326.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
Second
8588
#15
23.82.2
19.922.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 14.8
10480
#31DQ
9.02.4
10.98.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Third
15.32.2
8.110.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 9.8
6860
#32
5.51.6
7.35.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed