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Red52
21919.7
862814.7
127933.6
Blue82
94394.6
851356.9
1006913.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7677607080901005282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
41Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
52Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.4
30.929.5
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
blue by 23.3
56.90.7
50.451.1
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
219
#24
19.71.4
24.322.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
red by 6.6
13.10.7
11.211.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
Third
8628
#17
14.71.4
15.113.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 10.1
9439
#30
4.61.0
6.97.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed