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Red106
1060015.3
75225.9
55539.1
Blue79
863028.4
30327.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796620406010012014010679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
76Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
106Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#6
39.12.2
37.840.1
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
red by 10.7
8630
#18
28.41.5
28.930.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.4
Second
752
#9
25.92.2
24.526.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
blue by 1.0
303
#26
27.01.5
24.826.3
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Third
15.32.2
10.312.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 6.2
10480
#31DQ
9.01.5
8.610.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed