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Red139
314254.6
167651.3
942421.5
Blue92
218010.4
858823.8
164041.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136655010015020013992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
93Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
139Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.61.4
52.553.9
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 12.8
41.81.6
36.738.2
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
Second
1676
#11
51.31.4
46.948.3
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
red by 27.5
8588
#15
23.81.6
22.223.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Third
9424
#19
21.51.9
18.720.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 11.1
2180
#22
10.41.6
9.511.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed