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Red73
83455.8
5634.8
704516.0
Blue60
71424.4
94394.6
21919.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1254501001502007360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
31Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
8Foul points0
73Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.82.9
55.052.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 31.4
714
#21
24.40.4
22.723.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
Second
56
#12
34.82.9
35.132.2
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
red by 15.1
219
#24
19.70.4
22.923.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
Third
7045
#14
16.03.9
16.112.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 11.4
9439
#30
4.60.6
7.98.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed