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Red153
870623.1
851356.9
181142.2
Blue69
167228.1
1006913.1
428522.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13054010015020015369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+64Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points4
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
94Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#14
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
153Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.92.3
51.153.3
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 28.7
1672
#28
28.10.4
26.526.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.6
Second
1811
#10
42.22.3
36.638.8
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
red by 19.4
4285
#16
22.80.4
18.919.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
23.13.0
26.029.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
red by 10.0
13.10.4
11.912.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed