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Red101
181142.2
428522.8
75225.9
Blue26
870623.1
55539.1
94394.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9183406010012014016010126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+69Teleop
+73Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +65
14Coral scored#1
49Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
67Total teleop2
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
2Foul points0
101Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#10
42.20.9
38.839.8
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
red by 3.2
555
#6
39.13.4
40.136.6
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Second
752
#9
25.90.9
26.727.7
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End3.2
red by 2.9
23.14.2
29.024.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.2
Third
4285
#16
22.80.9
19.320.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 18.2
9439
#30
4.64.2
8.54.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed