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Qual 542025 FMA District Warren Hills Event
Red43
531011.4
21919.7
30327.0
Blue100
807515.6
5634.8
218010.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656005010015043100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#7
21Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
25Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
6Foul points36
43Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#26
27.01.9
26.3→24.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End1.5
blue by 7.8
56
#12
34.80.5
32.2→32.7
Auto7.4
Teleop26.9
End0.5
Second
219
#24
19.71.6
23.4→21.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End4.3
red by 4.1
8075
#20
15.60.5
13.0→13.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Third
5310
#27
11.42.1
11.1→9.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End1.2
red by 1.0
2180
#22
10.40.5
11.1→11.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed