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Red105
87717.2
127933.6
83455.8
Blue61
942421.5
71424.4
1060015.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10252015010561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
71Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
105Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
55.81.0
52.053.1
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 31.4
714
#21
24.40.3
23.123.4
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.1
Second
33.61.0
30.231.2
Auto4.5
Teleop26.0
End3.0
red by 12.0
9424
#19
21.50.4
20.621.0
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
8771
#29
7.21.0
7.68.6
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.9
blue by 8.0
15.30.3
12.512.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed