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Red55
164041.8
807515.6
Blue99
858823.8
704516.0
851356.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621050501505599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
13Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +22
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points38
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
28Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points6
55Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.5
38.237.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
blue by 15.0
56.90.2
53.353.6
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
8075
#20
15.60.5
13.513.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3
blue by 8.2
8588
#15
23.80.2
23.724.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Third
10480
#31DQ
9.00.6
10.09.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 7.0
7045
#14
16.00.3
12.212.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned