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Red105
164041.8
167651.3
942421.5
Blue115
181142.2
55539.1
704516.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269850150200105115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points24
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +31
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
51Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
105Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#11
51.30.2
51.551.3
Auto13.7
Teleop33.3
End4.3
red by 9.0
1811
#10
42.20.5
41.241.7
Auto7.8
Teleop32.1
End2.3
Second
41.80.2
42.141.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End7.3
red by 2.8
555
#6
39.10.5
38.138.5
Auto8.1
Teleop26.4
End4.5
Third
9424
#19
21.50.2
21.821.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 5.5
7045
#14
16.00.5
15.015.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End2.7