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Red164
851356.9
218010.4
314254.6
Blue140
22247.7
807515.6
83455.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291196080100140160180200220164140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
20Coral scored#17
72Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
92Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#8
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points0
164Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.9
57.157.9
Auto17.5
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 1.0
834
#4
55.80.6
54.555.0
Auto13.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
Second
54.60.9
54.855.7
Auto10.6
Teleop36.5
End7.5
red by 6.9
222
#2
47.70.6
46.446.9
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End6.9
Third
2180
#22
10.40.9
11.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 5.2
8075
#20
15.60.6
14.314.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End4.3